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Asia Defense Stocks Retreat as Israel-Iran Ceasefire Sparks Risk-On Rally

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Image credit: Museums Victoria

Major defense contractors across Asia saw share prices dip on Tuesday after President Donald Trump announced a tentative ceasefire between Israel and Iran, ending a “12-day war.” Markets rotated out of defensive aerospace and military names as risk appetite returned.

Defense Sector Performance and Key Movers

  • South Korea:

    • Hanwha Aerospace (KS:012450) slipped 2.4%

    • Korea Aerospace (KS:047810) fell 4%+

    • LIG Nex1 (KS:079550) plunged 14%

  • Australia:

    • Electro Optic Systems (ASX:EOS) down 10%

    • Austal Ltd (ASX:ASB) and DroneShield (ASX:DRO) lost 3-5%

  • China:

    • AVIC Aircraft (SZ:000768) edged down 1.3%

    • China Shipbuilding (SS:601989) down 0.4%

Broader indices rose in tandem with a risk-on market mood, as investors dialed back safe-haven allocations.

Why the Rotation Occurred

  • Ceasefire Announcement: Trump's Truth Social post detailed a phased pause: Iran halts immediately, Israel follows in 12 hours, and full cessation within 24 hours.

  • Risk-On Sentiment: A pause in Middle East hostilities reduces geopolitical risk, prompting investors to favor cyclicals over defense plays.

  • Valuation Dynamics: Defense valuations often trade at premiums during heightened tensions; a ceasefire can trigger multiple contraction.

Monitoring Defense Sector Valuations

With sentiment shifting, tracking sectorwide price/earnings multiples and individual credit profiles is crucial. Use Financial Modeling Prep's APIs for real-time insights:


Investor Takeaways:

  1. Watch Ceasefire Durability: Any breakdown could reverse the rotation, lifting defense stocks.

  2. Valuation Rebounds: Dips in premium multiples may present buying opportunities if tensions re-escalate.

  3. Credit Health: Strong balance sheets in top-tier defense firms can provide resilience amid gyrations.

By integrating real-time sector and company data, investors can better navigate this transition from defensive to risk-on positioning in Asian markets.

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