Ameren Upgraded to Outperform, Positioned for Superior Growth

Ameren (NYSE:AEE) shares rose more than 1% intra-day today after Evercore ISI analysts upgraded the company from In Line to Outperform, raising the price target to $104 from $89, citing the company’s promising growth prospects and operational strength.

Ameren is positioned to achieve the higher end of its targeted 6-8% EPS growth rate, with Evercore's 2027 EPS estimate of $5.77 slightly ahead of street consensus by 2%. Key catalysts driving this optimism include updates to the Minnesota Integrated Resource Plan (IRP), legislative changes in Minnesota, investment opportunities in the Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO) grid, and successful execution of rate cases.

The recent multi-year Illinois rate decision adds a layer of certainty to Ameren's investment strategy through 2027, solidifying its path toward consistent growth. According to the analysts, these factors position Ameren to outperform peers in the utilities sector, with Evercore modeling an estimated 8% EPS growth in its base case—well above the industry average of 7%.

The stock offers a compelling risk/reward dynamic. The base case price target of $104 implies a total return of 14%, while bull and bear case scenarios project a potential 19% upside to $109 and an 8% downside to $84, respectively.