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US Mulls Cutting China Tariffs to 50–65% Amid Hopes for Trade De-Escalation

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Image credit: Sean Pollock

President Trump's administration is weighing a reduction of its punitive China duties—currently at 145%—to as low as 50-65%, or even a tiered structure (35% on non-strategic goods, 100% on security-sensitive items), signaling a potential thaw in the trade war that has rattled markets.


Tariff Reduction Proposals on the Table

  • Range: Cuts could bring China levies down from 145% to 50-65%.

  • Tiered Approach:

    • 35% on items not deemed a national-security threat.

    • 100% on goods critical to U.S. interests.

  • Decision Status: Still under internal debate; no final call from President Trump.


Market Reaction and Sentiment

  • Equity Rally: U.S. stocks rose on Tuesday as investors welcomed signs of easing trade tensions.

  • Caution Remains:

    • Treasury Secretary Bessent called negotiations a “slog,” warning no unilateral tariff cuts.

    • Chinese officials said they'll only talk if threats cease—underscoring conditional goodwill.


Broader Trade Context

  • Recent Escalation:

    • U.S. duties hiked to 145% in early April.

    • China retaliated with 125% tariffs on American imports.

  • 90-Day Pause: Tariffs on most other countries remain suspended, allowing side-deals to be struck.


What's Next for Investors

  1. Formal Tariff Announcements

    • Watch for a White House or USTR press release detailing any approved reductions.

  2. Trade Negotiation Calendar

    • Monitor upcoming meetings between U.S. and China trade envoys.

  3. Economic Data

    • Key readings—such as U.S. durable goods and China PMI—will gauge whether a tariff rollback spurs trade activity.


Track Upcoming Trade Events

Stay ahead of tariff decisions and negotiation milestones with the
🔗 Economics Calendar - Economics Data API
from Financial Modeling Prep.
This API provides real-time scheduling of policy announcements, trade talks, and major economic indicators that drive market sentiment.

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