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Asian Stocks Drift as Trump’s Trade and Fed Flip-Flops Fuel Volatility

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Image credit: Gilly

Markets across Asia drifted on Thursday, paring earlier gains as investors grappled with the U.S. administration's mixed signals on tariffs and Federal Reserve leadership. A rebound in the dollar also lost steam, underpinning a cautious tone.


Market Overview

  • MSCI Asia ex-Japan: -0.72%

  • Nikkei 225: +0.4%

  • Hang Seng: -1.0%

  • CSI 300: +0.06%

  • U.S. Futures: S&P 500 Futures -0.23%, Nasdaq 100 Futures -0.32%


Policy Whiplash Weighs on Sentiment

  • Fed Uncertainty

    • Trump's week-long attack on Fed Chair Powell, followed by a retraction, has left markets unsure of U.S. monetary policy's independence.

    • Treasury Secretary Bessent echoed this, saying any tariff cuts would not be unilateral—a far cry from headlines suggesting immediate de-escalation.

  • Tariff Talk Turmoil

    • The White House reportedly eyed cutting China tariffs to 50-60%, but Bessent and White House spokespeople later clarified no standalone offer exists.

    • Investors remain wary that any deal requires Beijing to make the first move—something China has signaled it won't do.


Regional Highlights

  • Japan

    • Tariff negotiator Ryosei Akazawa prepares for U.S. visit (April 30) to resume talks—boosting automakers Toyota (+5%) and Honda (+2%).

  • South Korea

    • KOSPI underperformed after Q1 GDP unexpectedly contracted, offsetting strong SK Hynix (NVDA supplier) earnings.

  • China

    • CSI 300 flat; PBoC governor reiterated support for multilateral trade, signalling Beijing's resistance to U.S. pressure.


FX & Bond Reaction

A firmer dollar and volatile yield moves reflected reduced confidence in policy predictability. Safe-haven flows into JPY were balanced by dollar strength.

For live currency pair updates, see the
🔗 Daily Forex Rates API
from Financial Modeling Prep.


What's Next

  1. Flash PMIs (Wed): Early barometer of global growth under trade stress.

  2. Durable Goods Orders (Thu): Gauge of capex ahead of tariffs.

  3. Trade Talks Updates: Any clarity on U.S.-China or U.S.-Japan negotiations will drive market direction.


Investors should brace for continued choppiness as policy rhetoric remains unpredictable. Defensive positioning and real-time monitoring of trade and central bank signals will be key to navigating this environment.

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